HotS: impact of XP changes on match duration

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In 2018 I’ve been playing a lot of Heroes of the Storm with friends. HotS is a fast-paced MOBA with a focus on map-specific objectives and 5v5 team fights.

December was an emotional month for all of us in the Nexus:

It was quite a ride and for a moment we didn’t know if we still had our game. Despite the obvious negative reaction to the last piece of news, the game is very much alive and I play it regularly. In this post I wanted to reflect on how it felt to play HotS in December and January: specifically to think about how the XP changes affected my experience (wink).

The crux of the XP changes is that now destroying enemy buildings grants a small bonus to experience gained over time — instead of giving a big amount of XP immediately. With this modification Blizzard wanted to make matches closer and reduce the snowball effect that the team in the lead is always trying to take advantage of. This wasn’t a problem in my opinion, but of course the game creators have more insight into the game and can make decisions informed by a lot of data.

From my perspective (I’m an average player, Gold in Europe) matches after the XP patch got less dynamic. It’s harder to push in the mid-game, easier to defend, there are fewer dramatic power swings between the two teams… This might be in line with the stated goal of the patch. However, sometimes it feels like both sides are just waiting for the level 20, so that the final team fight can decide which team wins the game, regardless of what was going on on the map for the past twenty-plus minutes… Which brings me to the main focus of this post: the match duration.

I feel that matches after the experience changes are longer. Of course, being the person that I am, a feeling for me is a) not enough, and b) something I want to verify against data. Therefore, I analyzed my replays and graphed their durations. (BTW take a look at technical notes at the end of this post if you think, as I did, that getting the duration of a match out of a HotS replay is easy.) I looked at my games in Team League and Quick Match from November, December, and January. (I don’t do Hero League because I play almost exclusively with friends.) Here are normalized histograms of my results:

Well. I didn’t expect to see this. Quick Match is similar between patches. The median Team League game is actually 1.5 minute shorter. What the hell? Does it mean that my perception doesn’t match the reality? (Wouldn’t be the first time…)

I assume what’s occurring here is that my intuition is skewed because the games I remember the most are the ones that were the longest and that the new smooth-out-the-differences XP system allows (at least in the lower ranks). In TL in particular we had a couple of matches in the 30–38 minutes range. This didn’t happen in the previous season.

Or it might be that the sample size is too small, that my friends and I are different (better? 🤞) players now, etc., etc.

“And on that bombshell…”

Technical notes

What surprised me about this project is how absurdly difficult it is to get the match duration from a HotS replay. I expected it to be a value in a dictionary. But no. To get the duration in seconds you have to:

  1. Sequentially read through all of the game events.
  2. Wait for the “unit born” events for cores. (BTW cores on Alterac Pass have different names than on all other maps. You have to handle this.)
  3. Remember core IDs (that consist of two separate keys).
  4. Wait for the “gates open” event.
  5. Remember the index of its game loop.
  6. Wait for the “unit died” event with the object ID of one of the cores.
  7. Read its game loop index and subtract the index of the “gates open” event.
  8. Divide the result by 16 (apparently HotS logic runs at 16 FPS).
  9. owl-yiss.gif

Thanks to jhgrng, plasticbag, and sabr for reading drafts of this.


Visualization series